Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.341493 3.537942 3.747189 3.987944 4.258957 4.556596 4.911012
2025-04-13 2.959414 3.208285 3.485680 3.821559 4.222622 4.693517 5.299989
2025-04-20 2.776479 3.072891 3.416965 3.853931 4.406809 5.102684 6.081068
2025-04-27 2.634546 2.968284 3.369750 3.902320 4.614627 5.576818 7.066534
2025-05-04 2.542461 2.913212 3.374758 4.014254 4.920707 6.245308 8.551137
2025-05-11 2.432031 2.824401 3.326628 4.048348 5.124798 6.817570 10.141945
2025-05-18 2.316646 2.719223 3.246144 4.026508 5.242419 7.286243 11.815438
2025-05-25 2.175259 2.569802 3.093300 3.883313 5.149313 7.374780 12.762217
2025-06-01 2.076113 2.470182 3.001033 3.819330 5.173959 7.687065 14.515654
2025-06-08 1.996986 2.392502 2.933258 3.784639 5.241648 8.104996 17.025327
2025-06-15 1.939468 2.340696 2.898038 3.796000 5.391076 8.746121 21.304525
2025-06-22 1.865199 2.261424 2.817348 3.726352 5.381027 9.027739 24.796230
2025-06-29 1.784582 2.175080 2.729316 3.651300 5.379240 9.414736 30.875676
2025-07-06 1.697952 2.076480 2.617730 3.528283 5.268202 9.497898 36.084237
2025-07-13 1.658836 2.043967 2.603924 3.570404 5.502933 10.690776 67.517972
2025-07-20 1.624836 2.016934 2.596530 3.623218 5.776437 12.251398 295.228091
2025-07-27 1.604318 2.008370 2.617149 3.729115 6.202381 14.893148 NaN
2025-08-03 1.570699 1.978360 2.601211 3.765252 6.475660 17.392786 NaN
2025-08-10 1.529874 1.935418 2.561309 3.750860 6.618423 19.569860 NaN
2025-08-17 1.471940 1.864065 2.470699 3.628310 6.442603 19.535992 NaN
2025-08-24 1.430227 1.816017 2.416492 3.574203 6.450965 20.951146 NaN
2025-08-31 1.395735 1.777710 2.376520 3.545235 6.527336 23.218006 NaN
2025-09-07 1.370399 1.752498 2.357154 3.556592 6.729405 27.542269 NaN